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Current Gold Coast Property Market Overview
Residential Outlook:
The Gold Coast property market remains buoyant and is still one of the strongest residential markets in southeast Queensland.
Underlying uncertainty about interest rates, which have been on the decreasing and are expected to lower somewhat over the course of calendar 2008, did little to dampen buyer enthusiasm which over the past 18 months has generated solid prices for Gold Coast properties. Demand remained strong in all categories and, in all price brackets, indicating that considerable upside potential remains despite the gains that have been made over the past two years.
 

I have come across plenty of research that predicts South East Queensland’s residential market will continue to witness reasonable activity but at a lower levels from last year. Whilst the threat of inflation as well as the international credit crisis still looms on the horizon, a stable if not steady market performance over 2009 is expected for South East Queensland due to the strong fundamentals in the region, these include positive net migration, low unemployment and robust local economic conditions.

 

The Australian economy is underpinned by low unemployment, high immigration, a stable trade union environment and moderate interest rates, which are not high by historic standards. The only real problem is liquidity and this affects new property development and re-financing of existing facilities. New projects on the drawing board are likely to be postponed until project funding can be accommodated. The extent of price reductions from recent economic turmoil will vary on locality and price bracket. Prime locations such as inner city or beachfront, with prices around $500,000-700,000 should not see little change, however in fringe locations and higher price brackets there could be prices fall in the order of 10-20% (Midwood Report, 2008).

 
The next rally in the property cycle is expected in 2010 and the size of this rise is expected to be in the order of 30-40%. This should over come the declines we have seen now. In the long term, property values in South-East Queensland increase at approximately 8%pa. This has occurred over a long period, dating back to the 1960’s.

 

Residential Market Impacts (General residential)

 

  • Supply/demand and rental fundamentals remain strong and prices should hold up especially for products below $500,000

  • Biggest impacts are due to low interest rates

  • Business confidence has softened slightly and sentiment in most markets has been impacted.

  • There is little evidence to reflect these impacts, apart from a less sales.

 

 

 
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